Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.010330 0.012327 0.014777 0.018060 0.022438 0.028221 0.036696
2025-07-27 0.007819 0.010113 0.013277 0.018160 0.025906 0.038553 0.062959
2025-08-03 0.006497 0.008842 0.012340 0.018293 0.029055 0.050002 0.102528
2025-08-10 0.005487 0.007728 0.011250 0.017681 0.030508 0.059331 0.151458
2025-08-17 0.004679 0.006747 0.010120 0.016599 0.030521 0.065632 0.205345
2025-08-24 0.004096 0.006021 0.009261 0.015756 0.030658 0.072498 0.281529
2025-08-31 0.003798 0.005712 0.009055 0.016121 0.033739 0.090937 0.498664
2025-09-07 0.003447 0.005265 0.008518 0.015650 0.034520 0.102928 0.773490
2025-09-14 0.003130 0.004836 0.007951 0.014977 0.034487 0.112183 1.157813
2025-09-21 0.002929 0.004592 0.007699 0.014968 0.036441 0.133607 2.346536
2025-09-28 0.002823 0.004505 0.007744 0.015675 0.041101 0.179075 9.411281
2025-10-05 0.002788 0.004544 0.008047 0.017124 0.049458 0.277071 1173.412729
2025-10-12 0.002660 0.004411 0.008006 0.017776 0.055973 0.405015 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002501 0.004201 0.007771 0.017842 0.060322 0.554021 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002364 0.004020 0.007574 0.017969 0.065323 0.790034 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002201 0.003770 0.007180 0.017371 0.066051 0.966256 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002030 0.003489 0.006679 0.016315 0.063432 1.026406 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001888 0.003257 0.006273 0.015492 0.061800 1.130621 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001820 0.003176 0.006219 0.015848 0.068203 1.875417 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001719 0.003015 0.005950 0.015388 0.068721 2.376811 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001617 0.002845 0.005643 0.014731 0.067365 2.734008 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001553 0.002752 0.005520 0.014722 0.071169 4.413764 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001523 0.002731 0.005577 0.015412 0.081962 13.423435 NaN